Macro Regime Snapshot
Business Cycle
RecessionRisk
MixedDollar
Strong USDCredit
StressedYield Curve
NormalComposite
+0.35
Mixed signals: stay diversified; watch dollar and credit for next leg direction. · Strong USD — headwind for EM and hard assets. · Credit stress — high caution on high-yield and cyclicals.
Top 10 — Long-Term Watchlist2–3 year horizon
| Rank↑? | Ticker↕ | Name↕ | Group↕ | 3M RS↕? | 6M RS↕? | 12M RS↕? | Score↕? | RRG↕? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EWZ | Brazil | Intl | +26.9% | +22.1% | +0.6% | 0.80 | Improving |
| 2 | HACK | Cybersecurity | Industry | +2.9% | +19.7% | +43.2% | 0.80 | Weakening |
| 3 | SPY | S&P 500 | Benchmark | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.80 | Leading |
| 4 | USO | Crude Oil | Asset Class | +23.7% | +30.6% | +94.7% | 0.80 | Leading |
| 5 | XLE | Energy | Sector | +9.1% | +20.5% | +16.4% | 0.80 | Improving |
| 6 | ^VVIX | Vol of Vol (VVIX) | Volatility | +3.9% | +9.0% | -12.6% | 0.80 | Leading |
| 7 | XLV | Health Care | Sector | +8.1% | +15.7% | +4.4% | 0.80 | Leading |
| 8 | ETH-USD | Ethereum | Asset Class | +26.4% | +36.9% | +2.8% | 0.78 | Weakening |
| 9 | XOP | E&P | Industry | +9.6% | +24.4% | +26.0% | 0.78 | Leading |
| 10 | IBB | Biotech | Industry | +4.7% | +20.4% | +9.7% | 0.76 | Leading |
Top 10 — Short-Term Signals
3–20 day · Informational only| Rank↑? | Ticker↕ | Name↕ | 20D RS↕? | 5D RS↕? | Brk 20D↕? | Brk 52W↕? | CMF-5↕? | ST Score↕? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XLV | Health Care | +6.4% | +7.1% | ✓ | ✓ | 0.13 | 1.29 |
| 2 | KIE | Insurance | +4.6% | +5.1% | ✓ | — | 0.36 | 1.19 |
| 3 | XLP | Consumer Staples | +6.6% | +5.4% | ✓ | — | -0.07 | 1.18 |
| 4 | XLB | Materials | +1.9% | +4.2% | ✓ | — | 0.44 | 1.15 |
| 5 | EWW | Mexico | +2.0% | +4.2% | ✓ | — | 0.32 | 1.15 |
| 6 | XLY | Consumer Discret | +3.4% | +3.9% | ✓ | — | 0.09 | 1.14 |
| 7 | USO | Crude Oil | +12.0% | +6.1% | — | — | 0.39 | 1.13 |
| 8 | ^VIX | VIX Volatility | +22.4% | +14.5% | — | — | — | 1.10 |
| 9 | ^VVIX | Vol of Vol (VVIX) | +17.4% | +14.9% | — | — | — | 1.10 |
| 10 | RSP | S&P 500 Equal Wt | +2.0% | +2.4% | ✓ | — | 0.22 | 1.10 |